Title:	Um mecanismo de prognóstico de risco de insustentabilidade de sistema entre agentes de decisão
Authors:	Alves, Jeuel Bernardes
Orientador(es)::	Molinaro, Luis Fernando Ramos
Assunto::	Sistema de Apoio à Decisão (SAD) Projetos - portfólio Processo decisório Risco de insustentabilidade coletiva
Issue Date:	8-May-2018
Data de defesa::	17-Jan-2018
Citation:	ALVES, Jeuel Bernardes. Um mecanismo de prognóstico de risco de insustentabilidade de sistema entre agentes de decisão. 2018. xii, 101 f., il. Tese (Doutorado em Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos e Automação)—Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, 2018.
Abstract:	An investigation into the risk of unsustainability and training in the issue of decision support systems, and provoked by the scientific journal: to whoever points an agent between decision makers minimizes the risk of collective unsustainability? Therefore, a prognostic mechanism and risk factor of collective unsustainability among the decision agents under conflict of interests is proposed. What you are looking for is a project structure, so as to reflect its results on the others and produce the collective performance in the efficiency of the portfolio, without intention that these impacts are measured that are adopted by the process of investigation based on the hypothetical-deductive approach , since the efficient performance of the modern portfolio theory is accepted for validation of the adjustments in the projects, as well as in the identification of the threshold of the risk of instituting the collective. There are archives obtained historical and documentary data to structure the study scenario in an institution of higher education, that in the stage of definition of the budgetary planning arise conflict of interest between its courses. For the decision-making process of the decision group, use the adaptive simulation process to perform scenarios of adjustments in the decision variables of the course projects, as well as comparisons between the cooperative and competitive decision regimes. The portfolio's risk of efficiency for a measure used to indicate the decision regime, as a structure of project adjustments that allow to minimize the risk of collective unsustainability. On the other hand, the proposed mechanism allows the participation of competitive agents, under a common prognostic platform and risk factor of collective unsustainability, in order to suggest a reference of comparison between cooperative and competitive decisions, from the parameter amplitude of adjustment each variable and risk tolerance over time.
metadata.dc.description.unidade:	Faculdade de Tecnologia (FT) Departamento de Engenharia Elétrica (FT ENE)
Description:	Tese (doutorado)—Universidade de Brasília, Faculdade de Tecnologia, Departamento de Engenharia Elétrica, 2018.
metadata.dc.description.ppg:	Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Sistemas Eletrônicos e de Automação
Licença::	A concessão da licença deste item refere-se ao termo de autorização impresso assinado pelo autor com as seguintes condições: Na qualidade de titular dos direitos de autor da publicação, autorizo a Universidade de Brasília e o IBICT a disponibilizar por meio dos sites www.bce.unb.br, www.ibict.br, http://hercules.vtls.com/cgi-bin/ndltd/chameleon?lng=pt&skin=ndltd sem ressarcimento dos direitos autorais, de acordo com a Lei nº 9610/98, o texto integral da obra disponibilizada, conforme permissões assinaladas, para fins de leitura, impressão e/ou download, a título de divulgação da produção científica brasileira, a partir desta data.
DOI:	http://dx.doi.org/10.26512/2018.01.T.31800
Appears in Collections:	Teses, dissertações e produtos pós-doutorado

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